TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Huracán and CA Belgrano scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Belgrano win, Huracán win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up, while Kalshi's tie market lacks explicit cancellation guidance, creating settlement ambiguity for that edge case.Hero Tip:
Traders holding Polymarket draw positions are protected by explicit cancellation language. Kalshi traders should clarify their platform's stance on canceled games before the event date. Both platforms agree on the core outcome logic (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties).Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Belgrano win, Huracán win, draw). Draw market explicitly resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Belgrano win, Huracán win, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided; resolution logic is outcome-conditional only. Quote: 'If Tie wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.' (Cancellation handling not specified.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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