This event group covers the Bundesliga match between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and Hamburger SV scheduled for March 21, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Dortmund win, a Hamburg win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Resolution relies on official Bundesliga statistics, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) for the Dortmund vs. Hamburg Bundesliga game on March 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket resolves three separate binary markets: Dortmund Win (YES if Dortmund wins, NO otherwise), Hamburg Win (YES if Hamburg wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise).
Kalshi resolves three separate binary markets with identical outcomes: Tie (YES if draw), Hamburg (YES if Hamburg wins), and Dortmund (YES if Dortmund wins).
All markets measure only the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's Dortmund and Hamburg markets resolve NO, and the Draw market resolves YES; Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES (covering all possible outcomes).
Exactly one outcome will occur: either Dortmund wins, Hamburg wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, Polymarket resolves Dortmund Win and Hamburg Win to NO, and Draw to YES. Kalshi resolves all three markets (Tie, Hamburg, Dortmund) to YES, effectively covering all possible outcomes.
Official Statistics Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Bundesliga announcement of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match, resolution may proceed based on credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.