TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: May 18, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a single binary outcome: whether both Arsenal and Burnley score at least one goal each during the Arsenal vs Burnley Premier League match scheduled for May 18, 2026. Resolution depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-time trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate decentralized participant views rather than bookmaker risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets price based on supply and demand from thousands of independent traders. For a both-teams-to-score outcome in an Arsenal versus Burnley fixture, prediction market prices may react faster to breaking news, team news, or injury updates than sportsbooks, which adjust more cautiously to protect margins.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that both teams find the net during the May 18 match. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents 1 percent implied probability. The price adjusts in real time as new orders flow in; higher demand to buy pushes the price up, signaling stronger belief in both teams scoring, while selling pressure lowers it. Kalshi's order-book model ensures transparent pricing and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before market close.
The market resolves on May 19, 2026, shortly after the final whistle of the Arsenal versus Burnley match on May 18. Resolution is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal each during regular and added time. The outcome is binary: if both Arsenal and Burnley each register a goal, the market resolves to yes; if either team fails to score, it resolves to no. Official match records and goal tallies from recognized sports data providers determine the final result.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, which affect scoring likelihood for either side. Tactical announcements or lineup leaks can shift expectations about attacking intent. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence both-teams-to-score probability. Early match events—such as an early goal, red card, or injury—will trigger sharp repricing as traders update their models. Betting market moves and social media sentiment can also accelerate price swings as new information reaches traders monitoring the event.
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