TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Burgos CF and RC Deportivo La Coruña will compete in a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match on April 25, 2026. The market group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Burgos CF win, an RC Deportivo La Coruña win, or a draw. All resolutions are determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Burgos win, Deportivo win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one outcome per market), which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction that violates basic market design principles. The platform cannot resolve this market to a single definitive outcome. Stick to Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which follow standard prediction market logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) RC Deportivo La Coruña win resolves YES only if Deportivo wins, NO otherwise; (2) Burgos CF win resolves YES only if Burgos wins, NO otherwise; (3) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Quote: 'If RC Deportivo La Coruña wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Single market with three outcome clauses, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes': (1) 'If Burgos wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; (2) 'If Deportivo De La Coruna wins...then the market resolves to Yes'; (3) 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution. Quote: 'If Burgos wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Deportivo De La Coruna wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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