TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Buffalo Bulls and Massachusetts Minutemen scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Buffalo win and UMass win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid or minimize exposure on Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and should be your primary reference for this event. If forced to trade Kalshi, assume platform will issue clarification or manual intervention at settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Standard binary winner-take-all. Buffalo win resolves to 'Buffalo Bulls', UMass win resolves to 'Massachusetts Minutemen'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Both Buffalo win and UMass win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. No resolution path for a No outcome is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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