TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Milwaukee Bucks and New Orleans Pelicans scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi spread markets lack explicit NO-resolution logic and cancellation handling, while Polymarket provides complete binary outcomes. Player props and totals are unified. Moneyline and first-half markets are consistent across platforms.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi spread markets as YES-only conditions; assume all other outcomes (opposite margin, ties, postponement, cancellation) resolve NO. Cross-reference with official Kalshi documentation before settlement. Polymarket spreads are fully specified and lower-risk. All player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve identically via NBA.com box scores across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Spread markets (e.g., Pelicans -4.5, -3.5, -5.5) resolve YES if Pelicans win by the specified margin or more; otherwise resolve Bucks. Ties resolve to Bucks. Cancellations resolve 50-50. Full binary logic with explicit thresholds and edge-case handling.Kalshi:
32 markets specify only YES conditions (e.g., 'New Orleans wins by more than 4.5 points'). No explicit NO resolution, tie handling, or cancellation logic provided. Assumes default NO for unspecified outcomes, but this is implicit and not stated in the market terms.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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