This event group covers an NBA game between the Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spreads across multiple point differentials, over/under totals at various thresholds, first-half markets, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists). The group spans 133 distinct markets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50 split), and overtime inclusion.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (Bucks vs. Hawks): Resolves to the team with the higher final score; if tied, resolves 50-50
Spread markets: Hawks spread resolves Yes if Hawks win by the stated margin or greater (e.g., Hawks -7.5 resolves Yes if Hawks win by 8+); otherwise resolves to Bucks
Over/Under totals: Resolves Over if combined Bucks + Hawks points meet or exceed the threshold (e.g., O/U 231.5 resolves Over at 232+); otherwise Under
First-half markets: Determined by halftime score only, not full-game score
Player props (points, rebounds, assists): Resolves Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold; resolves No if player scores at or below threshold, or if player is inactive/does not play
Ties in spread markets: Treated as Bucks win (non-Hawks outcome)
Game postponement: All markets remain open until game is completed
Game cancellation with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime inclusion: All markets include overtime periods in final resolution. A player prop or total that would resolve differently in regulation vs. overtime uses the full game result.
Player inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point, all player prop markets for that player resolve No, regardless of hypothetical performance.
Halftime tie in first-half moneyline: If the score is tied at halftime, the first-half moneyline market resolves 50-50.
Spread tie scenario: If the final score results in a tie (e.g., 110-110), all spread markets resolve to Bucks (non-Hawks outcome).
Game postponement and makeup: If the game is postponed and later rescheduled, all markets remain open and resolve based on the makeup game result. Only if no makeup occurs does the 50-50 resolution apply.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on NBA.com, including confirmation of all overtime periods and player statistics. First-half markets resolve at halftime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.