This event group covers a K-League 1 soccer match between Bucheon FC 1995 and Gangwon FC scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi), total goals over/under thresholds, both teams to score, and various point spreads (Polymarket), all resolving on official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for every possible outcome (tie, Gangwon win, or Bucheon win), creating a logical contradiction that makes these markets fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic based on goal totals, spreads, and both-teams-to-score outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's three markets (items 1-3) entirely — they contain a data integrity failure where all three outcomes trigger YES resolution simultaneously, which is logically impossible. Polymarket's markets are standard and resolvable. If you have positions on Kalshi, escalate to PredictionHero support immediately.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: All three Kalshi markets (Tie, Gangwon win, Bucheon win) are written identically and resolve YES for every possible match outcome. This creates a logical contradiction — exactly one outcome must occur, yet all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Gangwon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bucheon wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a critical data integrity failure.
Polymarket:
Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket's six markets use mutually exclusive, standard resolution criteria (Over/Under thresholds on combined goals, spreads by margin of victory, and both-teams-to-score). Each market resolves to exactly one outcome per match result. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if Bucheon FC 1995 and Gangwon FC combine to score 4 or more goals... If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to Under.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.