TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00PM ET: If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Bruins". If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi settles on goal-differential outcomes (spread-based), while Polymarket settles on combined total goals (over/under) and moneyline outcomes. These markets measure different underlying events and will not necessarily resolve consistently.Hero Tip:
If you trade across platforms, understand that Kalshi's spread markets (e.g., 'Boston wins by over 1.5 goals') resolve independently of Polymarket's total-goals markets (e.g., 'O/U 4.5'). A single game outcome can satisfy Kalshi's spread condition while failing Polymarket's total threshold, or vice versa. Do not assume cross-platform hedging will work.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi settles exclusively on goal-differential thresholds. Four markets resolve YES based on whether Boston wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or Columbus wins by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Example: 'If Boston wins by over 1.5 goals in the Boston at Columbus professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on combined total goals (four over/under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), moneyline outcome (Bruins vs. Blue Jackets), and one spread market (Blue Jackets -1.5). Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Bruins and Blue Jackets combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
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