TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC match scheduled for March 21, 2026 in the English Premier League. Markets track whether Brighton leads, Liverpool leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Liverpool win, Brighton win, tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version. The market is logically broken—it cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use only Polymarket's three-market framework, which properly enforces that exactly one halftime outcome occurs and resolves accordingly.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If Liverpool is the winner...then resolves to Yes. If Brighton is the winner...then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then resolves to Yes.' This resolves all three mutually exclusive outcomes to the same result (Yes), making it impossible to determine which outcome actually occurred. Key quote: 'then the market resolves to Yes' (repeated for all three outcomes).Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Brighton leading at halftime—Yes if Brighton wins first half, No otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime—Yes if tie, No otherwise; (3) Liverpool leading at halftime—Yes if Liverpool wins first half, No otherwise. Exactly one resolves to Yes. Key quote: 'If Brighton & Hove Albion FC wins within the first 45 minutes...this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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