TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC
polymarket
kalshi

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC

Volume:
$4,054,608

Arsenal FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,027,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arsenal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,285,660
N/A
N/A
$992,721
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brighton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228,033
N/A
N/A
$152,549
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,053
N/A
N/A
$60,550
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a single professional English Premier League soccer match between Brighton & Hove Albion FC and Arsenal FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Brighton win, Arsenal win, or draw, resolved based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause that resolves to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up, while all other markets (Polymarket win markets and Kalshi) resolve to No or remain unresolved. This creates asymmetric payoff logic across the outcome set.Hero tip: In a full cancellation scenario, Polymarket draw resolves Yes but win markets resolve No, creating a logical gap. Kalshi markets all resolve Yes (covering all outcomes), suggesting Kalshi treats cancellation as a catch-all. Traders should clarify with platforms whether cancellation is truly possible and which resolution logic will apply.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Brighton Win (resolves No if canceled), Draw (resolves Yes if canceled), Arsenal Win (resolves No if canceled). Key quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes".' Win markets state 'this market will resolve "No".' This creates a logical inconsistency where cancellation produces a Yes on draw but No on wins.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Brighton, Arsenal). All three outcomes resolve to Yes if their condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi is silent on cancellation logic, implying all outcomes remain open or the market is voided entirely, which differs from Polymarket's explicit Yes-on-draw cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.