TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Bradley Braves and Evansville Aces scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically incoherent and unresolvable as stated. Both possible game outcomes (Bradley win or Evansville win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to No resolution and making the market meaningless. Polymarket's categorical resolution is coherent but structurally incompatible with Kalshi's binary framework.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version of this market—the resolution rules appear to contain a drafting error that makes it impossible to lose. Polymarket's market is tradeable and clear. If you hold positions on both platforms, treat them as separate bets with different risk profiles, not as correlated exposures.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both Bradley win and Evansville win resolve to Yes. No scenario resolves to No. Quote: 'If Bradley wins...resolves to Yes. If Evansville wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical winner-take-all structure. Bradley win resolves to Bradley Braves outcome; Evansville win resolves to Evansville Aces outcome. Quote: 'If the Bradley Braves win, the market will resolve to Bradley Braves. If the Evansville Aces win, the market will resolve to Evansville Aces.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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