TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Bowling Green Falcons and Miami (OH) RedHawks scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -7.5 and -8.5, and over/under totals at 153.5 and 154.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Miami (OH) win and Bowling Green win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and all other markets use correct binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until Kalshi clarifies the resolution terms. The Polymarket moneyline, both spread markets (-7.5 and -8.5), and both total markets (153.5 and 154.5) all use consistent and resolvable binary logic based on final game score including overtime. Spreads and totals will resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup; moneyline will do the same.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Miami (OH) wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bowling Green wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This is logically contradictory and makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Bowling Green Falcons' if Bowling Green wins or 'Miami (OH) RedHawks' if Miami (OH) wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Spreads and totals use proper binary logic (e.g., 'Miami (OH) RedHawks' if they win by 8+ points, otherwise 'Bowling Green Falcons').
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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