TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC
kalshi
polymarket

Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC

Volume:
$376,291

Draw (Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 13, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,419
N/A
N/A
$16,602
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Botafogo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,023
N/A
N/A
$23,897
Settled
No
polymarket

Coritiba FBC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Coritiba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,999
N/A
N/A
$18,799
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Botafogo FR and Coritiba FBC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that YES resolves if Botafogo wins OR Coritiba wins OR a tie occurs—covering all possible outcomes—making it impossible for the market to resolve NO. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, draw) with standard binary resolution, which is logically sound and consistent with soccer match outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the match result, rendering it a broken contract. Trade only Polymarket's three markets, which correctly partition all possible outcomes (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, or draw) and resolve independently based on the actual match result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a fatal logical flaw. All three resolution conditions (Botafogo wins, Coritiba wins, or tie) resolve to YES, meaning the market will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome. The market rules state 'If Botafogo wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Coritiba wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' leaving no scenario for a NO resolution.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket correctly structures three independent binary markets—one for each possible outcome (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, draw). Each market resolves YES only if its specific outcome occurs and NO otherwise. For example, the Botafogo win market states 'If Botafogo FR wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' ensuring exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO after the match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.