TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Botafogo FR and Coritiba FBC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that YES resolves if Botafogo wins OR Coritiba wins OR a tie occurs—covering all possible outcomes—making it impossible for the market to resolve NO. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, draw) with standard binary resolution, which is logically sound and consistent with soccer match outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the match result, rendering it a broken contract. Trade only Polymarket's three markets, which correctly partition all possible outcomes (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, or draw) and resolve independently based on the actual match result.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a fatal logical flaw. All three resolution conditions (Botafogo wins, Coritiba wins, or tie) resolve to YES, meaning the market will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome. The market rules state 'If Botafogo wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Coritiba wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' leaving no scenario for a NO resolution.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket correctly structures three independent binary markets—one for each possible outcome (Botafogo win, Coritiba win, draw). Each market resolves YES only if its specific outcome occurs and NO otherwise. For example, the Botafogo win market states 'If Botafogo FR wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' ensuring exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO after the match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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