TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: May 26, 7:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers an MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals with multiple markets across three platforms: moneyline winner, first-inning run scoring, and individual player total bases thresholds. The core event is a single professional baseball game, but markets diverge significantly in scope, timing, and resolution mechanics.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets move continuously based on supply and demand. For the Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals matchup, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where sharp traders see value. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, making them useful for spotting consensus shifts before sportsbooks reprices.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Pricing on Polymarket for the Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals is determined by continuous order matching, where buyers and sellers negotiate contract prices in real time. Each outcome has its own order book; traders buy shares if they believe the outcome is underpriced and sell if they think it is overpriced. The current market price reflects the last executed trade and the spread between the best bid and ask. As game time approaches and more information becomes available, prices adjust dynamically to incorporate new data about team health, weather, or public betting patterns.
The Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals market resolves on May 26, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the game as recorded by Major League Baseball. The winning outcome is the team that scores more runs at the end of nine innings, or in extra innings if the game extends beyond regulation. Once the game concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions in the winning outcome.
Key catalysts for the Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals market include injury announcements to star players, bullpen availability, and weather conditions at game time. Lineup changes, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head historical matchups also influence trader positioning. Public betting action and sharp money flows can shift odds rapidly as the game approaches. Pregame news such as starting pitcher confirmation, rest days for key players, or unexpected roster moves will likely trigger repricing. Real-time updates during the game itself—early runs, errors, or pitching changes—will continue to move the market until final resolution.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.