TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 3 at 10:00 PM ET, the St. Louis Blues face the Anaheim Ducks in an NHL matchup. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes head-to-head winner selection and four total-goals over/under markets at different thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal wins by either team), while Polymarket settles on total combined goals scored (Over/Under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds) and moneyline/spread outcomes. These represent fundamentally different resolution bases: Kalshi focuses on win margin, Polymarket focuses on total scoring volume and game outcome.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, your outcome depends solely on whether either team wins by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals. If you bet on Polymarket, your outcome depends on total combined goals or the winner/spread. A 3-1 game resolves YES on Kalshi (Anaheim wins by 2+ goals) but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which Over/Under market you chose. Verify which platform's resolution logic matches your prediction before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi resolves based exclusively on margin-of-victory thresholds. All four markets resolve YES if either Anaheim wins by over 2.5 goals, Anaheim wins by over 1.5 goals, St. Louis wins by over 2.5 goals, or St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals. The resolution logic is: 'If Anaheim wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and similar conditions for other margins.Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket resolves based on total combined goals scored (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and game outcome (moneyline and spread). Markets resolve to Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold (e.g., 'Over if the Blues and Ducks combine to score 5 or more goals') and the moneyline resolves based on which team wins. The spread market resolves YES for Ducks if they win by 2+ goals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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