TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Canucks win, the market will resolve to "Canucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete market specifications with detailed resolution rules for five distinct markets (moneyline, four over/under totals, and spread), while Kalshi provides only two incomplete market descriptions that lack threshold specifications, resolution conditions, and settlement logic. Kalshi's markets are fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi markets for this event group — they lack essential resolution criteria. Polymarket markets are fully specified and resolvable. If you have positions on Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before settlement, as the current rules do not define what constitutes a YES or NO outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket provides five fully-specified markets with explicit resolution thresholds, outcome conditions, and edge-case handling. Markets include moneyline (Blues vs. Canucks winner), four over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals), and spread (Blues -1.5). Each market specifies: threshold, resolution source (final score including overtime/shootout), postponement rules (remain open), and cancellation rules (50-50 split). Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blues and Canucks combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to Under.'Kalshi:
Outlier (incomplete specification): Kalshi provides only two market descriptions that name the teams and date but omit all resolution thresholds, outcome definitions, and settlement logic. The two entries state only 'If STL Blues wins the St. Louis at Vancouver professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If VAN Canucks wins the St. Louis at Vancouver professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' — which creates a logical contradiction (both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes). No postponement, cancellation, or overtime rules are provided. Key quote: 'If STL Blues wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If VAN Canucks wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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