TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Montreal Canadiens NHL game scheduled for March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner (Blue Jackets or Canadiens), and (2) combined goal totals across four over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals). All resolutions are based on final regulation + overtime + shootout scoring, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete market specifications with clear resolution thresholds and logic for all five markets (moneyline, four over/under totals, and spread), while Kalshi's submission is incomplete and logically incoherent—it lists only a single market that resolves YES for both possible outcomes (either team winning), making it fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as currently specified. The market resolves YES regardless of outcome, which violates basic market logic and suggests a data submission error. Polymarket's markets are fully specified and tradeable. Clarify Kalshi's intent before placing any bets on that platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket provides five distinct, fully specified markets covering moneyline (Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens), four over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals), and a spread (Canadiens -1.5). Each market has explicit resolution logic tied to final game score, overtime/shootout handling, postponement rules, and cancellation clauses. Example: 'O/U 5.5 resolves Over if combined score is 6 or more, Under if less than 6; if canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50.'Kalshi:
Outlier (incomplete and incoherent): Kalshi submission contains a single market statement that reads 'If MTL Canadiens wins... then resolves to Yes. If CBJ Blue Jackets wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result, making the market unresolvable. No threshold, timing, or edge-case logic is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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