TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Chicago Blackhawks and Utah scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet on Utah (-1.5). Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Utah win and Blackhawks win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent but employ a non-standard shootout scoring adjustment (adding one goal to winning team) that diverges from official NHL scoring.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable as written. For this event group, rely exclusively on Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and totals markets, which maintain internal logical consistency. Note that Polymarket's shootout rule (add 1 goal to winner's score) may differ from how you calculate totals against external NHL sources, creating potential arbitrage or basis risk.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If UTA Mammoth wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If CHI Blackhawks wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. No clear tie-breaker or alternative outcome is specified.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Blackhawks' if Blackhawks win, 'Utah' if Utah wins. All totals and spread markets consistently reference final score including overtime/shootouts, with explicit rule: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.' This is internally consistent but non-standard.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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