TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and UCF Knights scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different lines (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under totals at two different thresholds (158.5 and 159.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Baylor win and UCF win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely until corrected. The spread and total markets on both platforms use consistent, resolvable logic tied to final score including overtime. Focus trading on Polymarket moneyline, or use Kalshi spreads and totals only.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves Yes for both Baylor victory and UCF victory, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Baylor wins the Baylor at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF wins the Baylor at UCF men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Baylor Bears' if Baylor wins or 'UCF Knights' if UCF wins. Quote: 'If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to "Baylor Bears". If the UCF Knights win, the market will resolve to "UCF Knights".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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