TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Minnesota Golden Gophers scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET at Minnesota. Polymarket resolves on the winner, while Kalshi markets resolve based on combined team scoring across multiple over/under thresholds (133.5 to 163.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi markets resolve based solely on combined total points (over/under thresholds), while Polymarket includes moneyline, spread, and over/under markets that depend on final score, margin of victory, and combined scoring—creating different settlement outcomes for identical game results.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting purely on combined scoring thresholds. If you trade on Polymarket, you are also exposed to margin-of-victory outcomes (spreads) and moneyline risk. A game result of Baylor 75, Minnesota 70 (total 145) resolves differently across platforms: Kalshi's 145.5 O/U resolves Under, but Polymarket's spread markets and moneyline also depend on the 5-point Baylor win. Verify which market type you are trading before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only over/under total-points markets with 11 distinct thresholds (121.5, 122.5, 126.5, 128.5, 132.5, 140.5, 141.5, 142.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5, 148.5, 151.5, 154.5, 157.5, 160.5, 163.5). Each market resolves YES if combined Baylor + Minnesota score exceeds the stated threshold, NO otherwise. Example: 'If Baylor and Minnesota collectively score over 148.5 total points in the Baylor at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three market types: (1) moneyline (Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers), (2) spread markets at -2.5, -3.5, -4.5, -5.5, -6.5, -7.5, -10.5, -11.5, -12.5, -14.5, -16.5, -17.5 points, and (3) over/under total-points markets at 121.5, 122.5, 126.5, 128.5, 132.5, 140.5, 141.5, 142.5, 145.5, 146.5, 147.5, 148.5. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory (e.g., 'This market will resolve to Baylor Bears if the Baylor Bears win the game by 4 or more points' for the -3.5 spread). Over/under markets require combined score to meet or exceed the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 148.5 resolves Over if combined score is 149+).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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