TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 2:30PM ET: If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic for the same event. Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Barcelona win OR Panathinaikos win), making the market logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket resolves to a single winner outcome (Barcelona or Panathinaikos), which is the standard and correct interpretation of a head-to-head sports match.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a critical logical flaw that makes it unresolvable. Both outcomes cannot resolve to YES simultaneously. Polymarket's market is the only one with valid resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, expect potential voiding or forced settlement at 50-50 due to the contradiction.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Resolves YES if Barcelona wins AND ALSO resolves YES if Panathinaikos wins. This creates a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution. Key quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Panathinaikos BC wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Outlier: Resolves to a single named winner (Barcelona or Panathinaikos), with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona. If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to Panathinaikos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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