In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 24 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona".
If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to "Anadolu Efes".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves to Yes if EITHER Barcelona wins OR Anadolu Efes wins, which means the market resolves Yes regardless of outcome. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winner's name (Barcelona or Anadolu Efes) or handles postponement/cancellation per standard rules.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically impossible — the market will resolve Yes no matter who wins, making it an invalid binary contract. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version and should be treated as the authoritative settlement source.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (only resolvable platform): Resolves to the winner's name (Barcelona or Anadolu Efes), with postponement keeping the market open and cancellation triggering 50-50 resolution. Quote: 'If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona. If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to Anadolu Efes.'
Kalshi:
Outlier (logically contradictory): Resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins AND also resolves to Yes if Anadolu Efes wins, creating an impossible binary outcome where both scenarios trigger Yes. Quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Anadolu Efes SK wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.