TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Ball State Cardinals and Miami (OH) RedHawks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Ball State win and Miami win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary resolution structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The Yes/Yes logic means no outcome can differentiate winners from losers. Polymarket's structure is correct: Ball State win resolves to Ball State Cardinals, Miami win resolves to Miami (OH) RedHawks. Use Polymarket as your reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all market with clear resolution paths. Ball State win resolves to Ball State Cardinals, Miami win resolves to Miami (OH) RedHawks. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Market structure contains logical impossibility. Both outcomes stated as resolving to Yes: If Ball St. wins resolves to Yes, if Miami (OH) wins also resolves to Yes. This creates unresolvable ambiguity where no outcome can be distinguished from another.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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