TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chile Primera Division soccer match between Audax CS Italiano and CD Universidad Católica scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) with various betting structures including spreads, over/under totals, and match outcome predictions.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally different from Polymarket's. Polymarket offers specific betting outcomes (spreads, totals, both teams to score); Kalshi's provided descriptions suggest all three match outcomes resolve to Yes, indicating either incomplete data or a confirmation-only market structure rather than directional betting markets.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate market ecosystems. Polymarket markets are traditional sports betting derivatives with clear thresholds. Kalshi's markets require clarification on their actual resolution mechanism. Do not assume cross-platform arbitrage opportunities without verifying Kalshi's true market mechanics.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers 7 distinct markets with specific thresholds: Both Teams to Score (binary), Spread Audax -2.5 (win by 3+), Spread Universidad -2.5 (win by 3+), O/U 3.5 (4+ goals), Spread Universidad -1.5 (win by 2+), O/U 2.5 (3+ goals), Spread Audax -1.5 (win by 2+), O/U 1.5 (2+ goals), O/U 4.5 (5+ goals). Each resolves based on final score thresholds. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to [outcome] if [specific threshold is met].' All reference anfp.cl as primary source.Kalshi:
Provides three market descriptions that all appear to resolve to Yes: (1) If Audax wins, resolve Yes; (2) If Universidad Católica wins, resolve Yes; (3) If Tie, resolve Yes. This structure suggests a confirmation market rather than directional betting. Key Quote: 'If [any outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No mention of spreads, totals, or conditional scoring thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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