Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Atalanta win, Lazio win, or tie), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It will resolve YES regardless of match outcome, rendering it worthless as a prediction instrument. Polymarket offers the only valid trading opportunity on this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Atalanta win resolves YES only if Atalanta wins; Lazio win resolves YES only if Lazio wins; Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'If Atalanta BC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Atalanta wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Lazio wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for every possible match outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.