TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Atalanta BC and Hellas Verona FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 22, 2026, using the same primary source (official Serie A statistics or credible reporting consensus), with identical scope and timing requirements.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie A (legaseriea.it) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (extra time and penalties are excluded).
- Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Atalanta wins, Hellas Verona wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Each outcome corresponds to one market resolving YES and the others resolving NO.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets all resolve YES (as all three outcomes are covered).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 22, 2026, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and resolved according to the same 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time rule.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule) while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's structure (all three outcomes resolve YES) creates a technical edge case where all three markets would resolve affirmatively, though this is a rare scenario.
- Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Lega Serie A or, if delayed beyond 2 hours, upon consensus of credible reporting sources. Markets remain open if the match is postponed and close upon match completion and official confirmation of the result.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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