TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional English Premier League (EPL) soccer match between Aston Villa FC and Sunderland AFC scheduled for April 19, 2026. The markets track the final result after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, determining whether the match ends in a win for either team or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Aston Villa win, Sunderland win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single resolution state. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market entirely—it contains a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three markets (Aston Villa win, Sunderland win, draw) are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
All three outcome branches (Aston Villa wins, Sunderland wins, Tie) are mapped to the same resolution: Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves Yes regardless of the actual match result, rendering it unresolvable. Quote: 'If Aston Villa wins... resolves to Yes. If Sunderland wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive markets with proper binary logic: (1) Aston Villa win resolves Yes/No, (2) Draw resolves Yes/No, (3) Sunderland win resolves Yes/No. Exactly one outcome will occur, and only the corresponding market resolves Yes. Resolution source is Premier League official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Scope limited to 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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