TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Premier League match between Aston Villa FC and Leeds United FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi) and goal-based derivatives including total goals over/under at multiple thresholds and both-teams-to-score (Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on using the official Premier League final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time as the sole resolution source, with identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and incomplete matches.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League (premierleague.com)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome (Kalshi): Resolves Yes if Aston Villa wins, Leeds United wins, or a tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Over/Under 1.5 (Polymarket): Resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5 (Polymarket): Resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5 (Polymarket): Resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5 (Polymarket): Resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
- Both Teams to Score (Polymarket): Resolves Yes if both teams score at least 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
- All resolution calculations exclude extra time and penalties; only regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
- Game Cancellation (No Makeup): Outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve based on official Premier League determination; goal-based markets (Polymarket) resolve 50-50
- Incomplete Match: Resolution follows the official final score published on premierleague.com at the time of stoppage
- Extra Time or Penalties: Explicitly excluded from all markets; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time score is used
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on premierleague.com, typically within 24 hours of match completionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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