TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both track the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory, mapping both possible game outcomes (Louisiana win and Arkansas State win) to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is the only reliable market for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome market with two mutually exclusive resolution paths. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) explicitly. Source: NCAA.org.Kalshi:
Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both possible outcomes (Louisiana wins OR Arkansas State wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No resolution. This makes the market unresolvable and suggests either a template error or missing threshold definition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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