TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (W)

Volume:
$4,201

Arkansas St.

 - Kalshi

Arkansas St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Arkansas St. at Louisiana Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arkansas St.

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,132
0%
0%
$1,974
N/A
polymarket

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$326
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Louisiana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,743
0%
0%
$1,576
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both track the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory, mapping both possible game outcomes (Louisiana win and Arkansas State win) to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is the only reliable market for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary outcome market with two mutually exclusive resolution paths. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) explicitly. Source: NCAA.org.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both possible outcomes (Louisiana wins OR Arkansas State wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No resolution. This makes the market unresolvable and suggests either a template error or missing threshold definition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.