TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 5, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Alcorn State Braves scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Alcorn St. win and Arkansas-Pine Bluff win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Both teams cannot both win the game, yet both outcomes map to Yes. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi on whether the second resolution statement should read 'resolves to No' instead. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be preferred until Kalshi corrects this error.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Yes/No market with contradictory logic. Both possible outcomes stated to resolve Yes: 'If Alcorn St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility with no path to No resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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