TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves (W)

Volume:
$1,596

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

 - Kalshi

Arkansas-Pine Bluff - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,073
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Braves (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alcorn St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Alcorn State Braves scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Alcorn St. win and Arkansas-Pine Bluff win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Both teams cannot both win the game, yet both outcomes map to Yes. Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi on whether the second resolution statement should read 'resolves to No' instead. Polymarket's market is logically sound and should be preferred until Kalshi corrects this error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clear binary structure with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory logic. Both possible outcomes stated to resolve Yes: 'If Alcorn St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility with no path to No resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.