TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Virginia Cavaliers on March 19 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Arizona State win OR Virginia win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to a single winner based on the game result, aligning with standard sports betting logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market—it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome, making it unsuitable for price discovery. Polymarket's market is the only reliable option for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to exactly one outcome based on final game score. 'If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils. If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers.'Kalshi:
Outlier (critical flaw): Resolves YES for both possible game outcomes. 'If Virginia wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a guaranteed YES resolution regardless of result, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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