This event group covers a men's college basketball game between American Eagles and Bucknell Bison scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-2.5 and -3.5), and total points over/under (139.5, 140.5, and 141.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both American win and Bucknell win outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure, not a threshold or timing difference.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market - it has a critical error. The spread and total markets are consistent across both platforms and can be safely traded. Use Polymarket moneyline as the authoritative source for winner determination.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains logical contradiction: 'If American wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bucknell wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both be Yes in a binary market. This is a data entry or specification error that makes the market unresolvable.
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'American Eagles' if American wins, or 'Bucknell Bison' if Bucknell wins. Includes standard cancellation clause: if game is canceled with no makeup, market resolves 50-50. This is logically sound binary resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.