TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where every possible match outcome (Kocaeli win, Alanyaspor win, or tie) resolves to YES, making the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's three markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive, resolving based on the actual match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical error. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, rendering them worthless for price discovery. Trade only on Polymarket's three mutually exclusive markets (draw, Alanyaspor win, Kocaelispor win), which function as a proper 3-way outcome partition.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for every possible outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Kocaeli wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Alanyaspor wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if there is a tie. This creates a logical impossibility where the market group cannot differentiate between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Kocaeli wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alanyaspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: Three mutually exclusive markets partition all possible outcomes. Market 1 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 2 (Alanyaspor win) resolves YES only if Alanyaspor wins, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Kocaelispor win) resolves YES only if Kocaelispor wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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