TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor
kalshi
polymarket

Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor

Volume:
$507,027

Alanyaspor

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alanyaspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$167,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alanyaspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116,745
N/A
N/A
$65,892
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kocaeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,937
N/A
N/A
$73,725
Settled
No
polymarket

Kocaelispor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,385
N/A
N/A
$27,414
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets create a logical contradiction where every possible match outcome (Kocaeli win, Alanyaspor win, or tie) resolves to YES, making the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's three markets are logically sound and mutually exclusive, resolving based on the actual match result.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a fatal logical error. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, rendering them worthless for price discovery. Trade only on Polymarket's three mutually exclusive markets (draw, Alanyaspor win, Kocaelispor win), which function as a proper 3-way outcome partition.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for every possible outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Kocaeli wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Alanyaspor wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if there is a tie. This creates a logical impossibility where the market group cannot differentiate between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Kocaeli wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alanyaspor wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Three mutually exclusive markets partition all possible outcomes. Market 1 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 2 (Alanyaspor win) resolves YES only if Alanyaspor wins, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Kocaelispor win) resolves YES only if Kocaelispor wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.