TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al Khaleej Saudi Club and Al Nassr Saudi Club scheduled for March 14, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome (win, loss, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets are logically contradictory - they all resolve to Yes for every possible match outcome (win, tie, loss), violating fundamental prediction market design. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary logic. This makes Kalshi markets unresolvable as meaningful prediction instruments.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution logic guarantees all three markets settle to Yes regardless of the actual match result, eliminating price discovery and creating a data integrity failure. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets which properly partition the outcome space.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three markets all resolve to Yes for any outcome. Logic: 'If Al-Khaleej wins... Yes. If Tie... Yes. If Al Nassr wins... Yes.' This creates logical contradiction - no outcome can resolve to No.Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Al Khaleej win market: Yes if Al Khaleej wins, No otherwise. Al Nassr win market: Yes if Al Nassr wins, No otherwise. Cancellation edge case: Draw market resolves Yes if game canceled; win markets resolve No if game canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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