This event group covers a Saudi Pro League match between Al Fayha and Al Ettifaq scheduled for March 13, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Al Fayha win, Al Ettifaq win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity about how a canceled game would settle.
Hero Tip:
Before market close, confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol. If the game is canceled, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will profit while win position holders will lose. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined in the provided rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Al Fayha win, Al Ettifaq win, draw). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Al-Fayha win, Al-Ittifaq win) that resolve YES if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; behavior on game cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.