TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the March 7, 2026 Saudi Pro League match between Al Ettifaq and Al Shabab. The markets ask whether Al Ettifaq wins, Al Shabab wins, or the match ends in a draw, with all outcomes measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling creates a logical contradiction. Polymarket explicitly resolves draw markets YES and win markets NO if the game is canceled with no makeup. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, leaving its three markets in an unresolvable state if the game does not occur.Hero Tip:
This is a critical gap. Before the match, confirm with both platforms whether a cancellation without makeup would trigger manual settlement or auto-resolution. Polymarket's explicit rule is safer; Kalshi's silence means you may face settlement delays or disputes. Hedge by monitoring official Saudi Pro League communications.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets: Al Ettifaq win (YES if Ettifaq wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Al Shabab win (YES if Shabab wins, NO otherwise). Explicit cancellation clause: if game is canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. All outcomes measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) / 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).Kalshi:
Three outcome markets presented as a single logical group: Al-Shabab win, Tie, or Al-Ittifaq win all resolve YES if the game occurs and that outcome is reached. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Al-Shabab wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Al-Ittifaq wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Silence on cancellation creates ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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