TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Springfield Thunderbirds and Providence Bruins scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Providence Bruins win OR Springfield Thunderbirds win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving the market with no valid No resolution path and making it fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform. The market as described cannot function. Before trading Kalshi, demand clarification on whether the market is actually binary (Yes/No on one team winning) or if the description is an error. Polymarket's market is logically consistent and should be your reference.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths: Springfield Thunderbirds win resolves to Springfield Thunderbirds, Providence Bruins win resolves to Providence Bruins. Handles edge cases (postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50). Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout adds 1 goal to winner's score).Kalshi:
Describes a Yes/No market but maps both possible outcomes to Yes: 'If Providence Bruins wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Springfield Thunderbirds wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility with no valid No resolution condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.