This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of an AHL (American Hockey League) game between the San Jose Barracuda and Calgary Wranglers scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 9:00 PM EST. Markets resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts, with special handling for postponements and cancellations.
Kalshi's resolution statement is logically contradictory: it declares both mutually exclusive outcomes (San Jose win and Calgary win) resolve to Yes, which violates binary logic and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Before trading, request official clarification on whether: (1) one outcome should resolve No instead of Yes, (2) the market is actually a non-predictive Yes-only market, or (3) there is a platform error. Polymarket's binary resolution (winner name vs. loser name) is logically sound and should be your reference framework.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to the name of the winning team (San Jose Barracuda or Calgary Wranglers). Postponements keep market open; total cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout winner gets +1 goal added to final score for resolution purposes. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Kalshi:
Declares both San Jose Barracuda win AND Calgary Wranglers win both resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction: only one team can win a single game, so both outcomes cannot simultaneously trigger Yes resolution. Market is unresolvable as written. Key Quote: 'If San Jose Barracuda wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.