This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the San Diego Gulls and Texas Stars scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with special handling for postponements, cancellations, and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (San Diego Gulls win and Texas Stars win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is clarified. The market as described violates basic binary logic. Polymarket's resolution is clear and tradeable: winner takes all, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Standard winner-takes-all binary. San Diego Gulls win resolves to San Diego Gulls, Texas Stars win resolves to Texas Stars. Postponements keep market open until completion; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-yes structure. States both If San Diego Gulls wins then Yes AND If Texas Stars wins then Yes, creating logical impossibility in a binary market. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling.
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