TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Rockford IceHogs and Grand Rapids Griffins scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Rockford win and Grand Rapids win) are stated to resolve the market to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market structure. This represents a data integrity failure that makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as documented.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until this contradiction is clarified with the platform. The Polymarket version has clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Request official clarification from Kalshi on whether the intended resolution is Yes/No based on Rockford winning, or if the documentation contains an error.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-based resolution with three explicit edge cases. Resolves to team name of winner (Rockford IceHogs or Grand Rapids Griffins). Postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout wins add one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.Kalshi:
Stated as Yes-resolution for both possible outcomes: 'If Rockford Icehogs wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Grand Rapids Griffins wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility in a binary market structure and suggests documentation error or missing No-resolution condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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