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AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Toronto Marlies
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Toronto Marlies

Volume:
$7,242

Toronto Marlies

 - Kalshi

Toronto Marlies - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 27, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto Marlies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
$2,577
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rochester Americans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,306
N/A
N/A
$2,919
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Toronto Marlies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 4:00PM ET: If Rochester Americans win, the market will resolve to "Rochester Americans". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, mapping both possible game outcomes (Rochester win and Toronto win) to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary outcome structure with explicit edge-case handling for postponements and cancellations.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version. If you have exposure on Kalshi, contact support immediately to clarify whether this is a template error or intentional market design.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Rochester Americans win and Toronto Marlies win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible game outcome resolves identically. No edge-case guidance provided for postponements or cancellations. Key Quote: 'If Rochester Americans wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto Marlies wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team (Rochester Americans or Toronto Marlies). Postponed games remain open until completion. Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Result determined by final score including overtime and shootouts, with one goal added to winning team's score in shootout scenarios. Key Quote: 'If Rochester Americans win, the market will resolve to Rochester Americans. If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to Toronto Marlies. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.