TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Providence Bruins and Springfield Thunderbirds scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Providence Bruins win and Springfield Thunderbirds win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market. Polymarket's logic is internally consistent but the two platforms have fundamentally different resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until its resolution logic is clarified by the platform. The Polymarket market is resolvable as written: bet on Providence Bruins to win, bet on Springfield Thunderbirds to win, or wait for postponement/cancellation handling. Treat Kalshi as unresolvable in its current form.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to Providence Bruins if they win, Springfield Thunderbirds if they win. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout winner gets +1 goal added).Kalshi:
Market description states both Springfield Thunderbirds winning and Providence Bruins winning resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible in a binary Yes/No market and suggests either incomplete documentation or a data entry error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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