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AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Iowa Wild
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Iowa Wild

Volume:
$15,068

Iowa Wild

 - Kalshi

Iowa Wild - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iowa Wild

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,795
N/A
N/A
$3,681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,782
N/A
N/A
$6,904
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Iowa Wild

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 17 at 8:00PM ET: If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to "Manitoba Moose". If Iowa Wild win, the market will resolve to "Iowa Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Manitoba Moose wins OR Iowa Wild wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating an impossible settlement condition.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken — it resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, meaning there is no No outcome possible. Stick to Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic (one winner, one loser).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose', Iowa Wild win resolves to 'Iowa Wild'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: 'If Manitoba Moose wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa Wild wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no valid No outcome. This violates binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.