TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Manitoba Moose and Chicago Wolves scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win and Chicago Wolves win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket uses a proper binary structure with distinct resolutions for each team.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket's version of this market. Kalshi's market is logically broken and cannot resolve properly. Flag this to Kalshi for immediate correction before any settlement occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary win-based resolution with distinct outcomes. Manitoba Moose win resolves to Manitoba Moose, Chicago Wolves win resolves to Chicago Wolves. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Includes shootout handling (one goal added to winner's score).Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes resolution structure. Both Manitoba Moose win and Chicago Wolves win are specified to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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