TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Manitoba Moose and Calgary Wranglers scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements, cancellations, and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win and Calgary Wranglers win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the binary market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent three-outcome framework.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market is corrected or clarified by the platform. The Polymarket structure is logically sound: back Manitoba Moose for a direct win bet, back Calgary Wranglers for a direct win bet, or recognize the 50-50 cancellation clause. Kalshi's current definition cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three-outcome market: resolves to Manitoba Moose if they win, Calgary Wranglers if they win, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Includes shootout rule (add one goal to winner's score). Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic: states both 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Key Quote: 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes. If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.