TOTAL VOLUME:

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399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Calgary Wranglers
polymarket
kalshi

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Calgary Wranglers

Volume:
$3,380

Manitoba Moose

 - Kalshi

Manitoba Moose - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manitoba Moose

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,047
N/A
N/A
$1,904
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Calgary Wranglers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Calgary Wranglers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Manitoba Moose and Calgary Wranglers scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific handling for postponements, cancellations, and shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Manitoba Moose win and Calgary Wranglers win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the binary market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent three-outcome framework.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi until the market is corrected or clarified by the platform. The Polymarket structure is logically sound: back Manitoba Moose for a direct win bet, back Calgary Wranglers for a direct win bet, or recognize the 50-50 cancellation clause. Kalshi's current definition cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market: resolves to Manitoba Moose if they win, Calgary Wranglers if they win, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Includes shootout rule (add one goal to winner's score). Postponements keep market open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with contradictory resolution logic: states both 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Key Quote: 'If Manitoba Moose wins...resolves to Yes. If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.