TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Manitoba Moose and Abbotsford Canucks scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements a binary winner-determination structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event. The market cannot be settled as written because there is no path to a No resolution. Trade only on Polymarket, which has sound binary logic and explicit handling for postponements (market stays open) and full cancellations (50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market structure resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Both conditional statements (Abbotsford wins → Yes; Manitoba wins → Yes) map to identical outcomes, creating a logical impossibility. No path to No resolution exists.Polymarket:
Proper binary outcome: Manitoba Moose win resolves to 'Manitoba Moose'; Abbotsford Canucks win resolves to 'Abbotsford Canucks'. Includes explicit edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout adds one goal to winner's tally).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.