TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Laval Rocket and Toronto Marlies scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Laval win and Toronto win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The market definition is internally inconsistent and cannot be settled fairly. Use Polymarket as your authoritative source, which employs standard binary outcome logic (Team A wins vs Team B wins).Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths. Resolves to 'Laval Rocket' if Laval wins, 'Toronto Marlies' if Toronto wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted toward final score. This is logically coherent.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory definition. States both 'If Laval Rocket wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Toronto Marlies wins...resolves to Yes.' No resolution path exists for a No outcome, violating binary market structure and creating an unresolvable state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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