TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Iowa Wild and Grand Rapids Griffins scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Grand Rapids Griffins win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The stated criteria violates basic binary market principles. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence. Request explicit clarification from Kalshi on whether the second outcome should resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: market resolves to either the string "Iowa Wild" or "Grand Rapids Griffins" based on final score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Logic is internally consistent and executable.Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure stated, but both conditional outcomes map to Yes: "If Iowa Wild wins...resolves to Yes" AND "If Grand Rapids Griffins wins...resolves to Yes." This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios is documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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