TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Iowa Wild and Chicago Wolves scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Chicago Wolves win and Iowa Wild win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market structure is broken. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic: Iowa Wild resolves to Iowa Wild, Chicago Wolves resolves to Chicago Wolves. Kalshi's market will either fail to settle correctly or be voided.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction detected. Market states: 'If Chicago Wolves wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa Wild wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, violating binary market structure and making resolution impossible to differentiate.Polymarket:
Clear binary resolution: Iowa Wild win resolves to 'Iowa Wild', Chicago Wolves win resolves to 'Chicago Wolves'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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